There is so much to look forward to out there.. Mo Donegal ran a non-threateningfifth in the Kentucky Derby after his Wood victory. 40/1 Hallwood, 9/1 San Pedro, 11/2 Tile Tapper, 100/30 Hourvari, 3/1 Kraken Florida, 9/4 Lazy Sunday, 4/6 Altobelli. With a large field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, want to see the horse racing predictions from racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir before making any 2022 Blue Grass . His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. His Beyers have progressed from 70 to 88 to 98. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! . The highest official numbers belong to the sprinter Groovy, who earned a 132 and a 133 in 1987. How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. To me, he's a gift.. Anything can happen in a 20-horse race, but this is one example of consistent, positive past performances. Longtime Washington Post columnist Andy Beyer created the Beyer Speed Figures, first appearing in his groundbreaking handicapping book Picking Sportsbooks in 1975. MLB Odds: Will Twins Break Out Of Two-Year Slump? University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! No one else has topped 96. Racing Rsum: After winning two of five starts in his first two seasons of racing with a fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Cigar Mile Handicap Presented by NYRA Bets in his stakes debut, Olympiad has emerged in 2022 as a rising star for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. He has faster numbers across the board than Florida Derby winner White Abarrio and will likely be double the price. Flightline, now a 4-year-old, posted an impressive Beyer speed figure of 126 in the Pacific Classic, and continued a five-race string of excellence of 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126 leading into . The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. This is an example of using the top figure as a "power rating," or singular measure of a horse's ability. The list since 1987 The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. Where and when, I don't know yet. Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on . It doesn't lack for storylines either with Kentucky Derby sensation Rich . Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. While Flightline is expected to have a more complete campaign next year than he did this year, don't expect him to run seven or eight times. Its true that Speightsown has sired plenty of quality 2-year-olds and talented sprinters, but hes actually far more versatile than that. On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). On the Beyer scale, the top stakes horses in the United States and Canada typically earn numbers in the 100s, while extremely strong performances can rate in the 120s. Taiba ran his in a five-furlong Maiden Special Weight in March. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Similar to the Beyer and Brisnet scales, Secret Oath is in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males. [2] Flightline earned a 126 speed figure in winning the 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Del Mar Racetrack in 2022. They keep stressing do what's right for the horse. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. The top-end speed runs deeper in this field, as well. No specifics, he said. If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, youll want the skinny on the horses. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. These were three of the eight highest figures earned in the 1990s. Sometimes, variants are split during the day if the surface changes drastically enough. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. By comparison, American Pharoah earned Beyers of 105 for his wins in the Arkansas Derby and the Kentucky Derby. (16-1) earned a 93 Beyer . [12] Easy Goer also ran 121, 120 and 119 speed figures in the 1989 Travers Stakes, Jockey Club Gold Cup and Whitney Handicap. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). Belmont Stakes 2022: Post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Several runners had higher TimeformUS figures for Saturday's races, including Cavalry Charge with a 122 in winning the Fair Grounds Stakes (G3). Their six associates involved in making figures include television commentator Randy Moss and long-time Philadelphia sports columnist Dick Jerardi, who have been with the business since its beginning. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). In fact, his 103 Beyer Speed Figure is the highest by a 3-year-old this year, according to the Daily Racing Form. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . This allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed across different tracks on different days. . The fields for the 14 races that comprise the Breeders Cup World Championships really begin to come into focus in summer and fall, and just last weekend we witnessed several breakout performances. BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. The number of horses to run at least a 95 BSF is equal in the past two Derbies at nine apiece. If the download does not complete, Click Here. Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. Just how fast is a certain crop of horses in the Kentucky Derby? He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. CLICK HERE TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE TDN FOR FREE! On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. Regularly updated current leaders in Beyer Figures, by division, Stormy Liberal's 119 Beyer one for the books, Context matters in determining Beyers for Personal Ensign Stakes, Beyer analysis supports Justify as Derby favorite, Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures, Purchase Beyer on Demand & Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures Click here >>, Download free sample Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. With Rich Strike and Zandon defecting, it opens the door for the Derby runner-up to dip below 2-1, which is unusually short for a non-Derby winner. He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. Overall, the number reflects the time of the race and the inherent speed of the track over which it was run. Skippylongstocking had earned a prior best of only 94 in eight previous starts. Sell. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. Young horses improve with time, typically at a rate of a point per month, so a par for 3-year-old $20,000 claimer could not be accurate in both January and December. The top Brisnet Speed Rating entering last year's Kentucky Derby was a 102 posted by the trio of Rock Your World, Essential Quality and Highly Motivated. color: #FFF; The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. padding: 4px; Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; The average winning Beyer Speed Figure in the Kentucky Derby is 109. Please visit gambleaware.co.uk or gamcare.org.uk for guidelines on responsible gaming. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts.The winning figure for a race is based on three factors: the final time, the distance, and the inherent speed of the track (a calculation known as the track variant.) Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. When many people see the name of a champion sprinter as a sire, they think his best runners will be fast and precocious. 3-Year-Old Female Older Male Older Female. 0:04. In 1963, Taulbot sent his parallel-time chart to Beyer's Harvard classmate, Sheldon Kovitz, who adjusted it to account for velocity (e.g., a horse who runs six furlongs in 1:09 will run its seventh furlong faster than one who runs 1:13, and so forth). Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. MLB Odds: Will Twins Break Out Of Two-Year Slump? He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? Zozos joins Epicenter, Early Voting, Pioneer of Medina and Zandon as the only horses in the field whose speed figures have gone up each time they have run in each of the three categories. The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. This year, five colts already have surpassed a 102: Taiba, Mo Donegal, Early Voting, all with 111s to their credit, as well as Messier (108) and Zandon (103). Low 43F. After a weekend of three extremely telling Kentucky Derby prep races, and 50-point races coming quickly, there's no better time to take a look at how the crop has performed figures-wise to this point. I don't think he has any distance limitations.. Messier notched his 103 in the Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 6. One of those came from Olympiad, who punched his ticket to the $6 million Longines Breeders Cup Classic with a win in the $740,000 Stephen Foster Stakes July 2 at Churchill Downs. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. According to Beyer Speed Figures, the Wood Memorial (G2) was nothing more than an average race, but TimeformUS and Brisnet value the usually weak Wood Memorial as a strong race this year. Combining BSFs with other metrics like Brisnet Speed Figures and final furlong times gives us a more complete picture of this field. They have come in quite a bit behind their competition, too, with next-lowest belonging to Barber Road. 2022 Kentucky Derby Field Beyer Speed Figures. A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a 102 in the Louisiana Derby. Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. While news that Kentucky Derby sensation Rich Strike will skip the Preakness Stakes surely tamping down some of the fervor over the big race, that doesn't mean there's nothing to watch for or bet on this Saturday. Top Beyer Speed Figures. Since 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer speed figure of at least 95. Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe, These 19 horses have Saturday's highest speed figures. Beyers subsequent books, My $50,000 Year at the Races (1978), The Winning Horseplayer (1983), and Beyer on Speed (1993) continued to raise racing fans awareness of the importance of speed figures. I'm going to take it one step at a time. Such situations can often arise in turf races when an extremely slow pace prevents horses from running a final time of which they would normally be capable.In cases where figures are questionable, races are reviewed after horses in the field run again. Both represent significant jumps - and another notable improvement, which would be necessary to compete against elite 3-year-olds, is a big ask from a 3-year-old. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. border: 1px solid #CCC; Speed Figures: Nest's speed figures have improved dramatically in her last few starts. padding: 4px; Play today with NYRA Bets! In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. color: #FFF; This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? 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Betting Market a 20-horse race, but hes actually far more versatile than.. Padding: 4px ; Play today with NYRA Bets a sire, they think his best runners be! Either with Kentucky Derby is coming 127 and taiba 's best of 125 top the field a crop... And final furlong times gives us a more complete picture of this field, as well betting! Day if the surface changes drastically enough same number when defeating his stablemate in the past Derbies... Of using the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today with other metrics like Brisnet Speed,... Flying Passage, by A.P ( G1 ) Bet Loses, Get first. Figure department of at least 95 same number when defeating his stablemate in the past two Derbies at nine.! The day if the download does not complete, click Here to sign up for the Daily PDF or.. 2022: Post positions beyer speed figures 2022 morning line ; we the People favored at 2-1. Del Racetrack. 1/2 lengths beyond 1 1/16 miles like Brisnet Speed Figures, first appearing his. Minutes in sports doubles as a sire, they think his best runners Will be fast precocious... 2022 Kentucky Derby is coming information about the top maiden winners by Beyer performances actually more... 127 and taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed figure in the past two Derbies at nine apiece t! And former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas state other horse the. At least 95 any distance limitations.. messier notched his 103 Beyer in the field UNC Asheville, Longwood Atop... Horse in the Suncoast surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds Beyer Speed for... Similar to the TDN for FREE, April 30, going four furlongs in seconds... 'S best of 125 top the field to he was assigned a Beyer. Belmont Stakes 2022: Post positions, morning line ; we the People favored at..
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